Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Mar 22, 2012Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 15 years ago

Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

The cornice building conditions have been excellent recently and cornice anchoring sites on ridgetops (with lots of wind-exposed dark rocks!) are now getting strong solar radiation.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–4
    The buried surface hoar layer is a concern in areas that have not avalanched already. Solar effect is a likely trigger in the afternoon directly on solar terrain or indirectly by causing cornice failure onto shaded lee slopes.
  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3
    Primarily southwest moderate alpine winds continue to form slabs and large cornices on lee aspects, but previous variable winds have also reverse loaded some features. Smaller windslab avalanches may step down to deeper instabilities.
  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2
    Surface snow is responding to strong solar radiation that happens in March/April. Ice climbers should also be wary of large pillows of snow still above routes on solar aspects. Even thick surface crusts will break down with sustained solar energy.

Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Avalanche Summary

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Regions covered