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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 22nd, 2012–Nov 23rd, 2012
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Cariboos.

This bulletin is based on limited data. Local variations in conditions are likely to exist. Check out the forecasters blog for further details on interpreting early season bulletins.

Confidence

Poor - Due to limited field observations for the entire period

Weather Forecast

Thursday Overnight: Increasing cloud with 5-7 mm precipitation. Freezing level near valley bottoms. Expecting -6.0 in the alpine. Winds light to moderate from the SW.Friday: Cloudy with 10-15 mm precipitation, some areas may see up to 30 cm at higher elevations. Freezing level rising to about 1100 metres during the precipitation and then descending to near valley bottoms, -5.0 in the alpine. Winds moderate from the SW.Saturday: Cooling trend behind the storm as High pressure moves into the region, freezing level at valley bottoms. Expect -10.0 in the alpine. Winds should clock to the NW. No precipitation expected.Sunday: Should still be under the influence of the High pressure. Cooler temps and light winds.

Avalanche Summary

We have not received any reports of avalanches from the region. Please send us an email if you have any observations.

Snowpack Summary

We don't have much hard information for this region. Reports suggest that there is more snow in the South of the region than there is in the North. The arctic air has moved into the North of the region, and may cause some surface hoar or near surface facetting.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

The new storm snow and wind are expected to develop new slabs that may not bond well to old wind affected surfaces.
Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>Use terrain features like ridges, benches, and knolls to reduce exposure to avalanches.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 5

Persistent Slabs

There are reports that the early November crust is also in this region. There may not have been much snow on the ground except in the high alpine when this crust formed. The new storm load may cause this layer to become reactive.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 5