Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 20th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Loose Wet and Cornices.

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One more day of warm sunny weather before cool cloudy weather arrives. Avoid sun-exposed slopes on Wednesday.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the timing or intensity of solar radiation and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear skies, light northwest wind, freezing level drops to 1200 m with treeline temperatures dropping to -4 C.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny in the morning then increasing cloud in the afternoon, 30-40 km/h northwest wind, freezing level around 2200 m with treeline temperatures reaching +2 C.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries bringing trace amounts of snow, light north wind, freezing level drops to valley bottom with treeline temperatures dropping to -8 C.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy skies, light wind, freezing level climbs to 1800 m with treeline temperatures reaching -2 C.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no reports since the weekend. There was a natural cycle of size 1-3 wet loose avalanches on sun-exposed slopes during a period of above freezing temperatures between Thursday and Saturday. There were also some size 3 wet slab avalanches observed in the McBride area.

You can still expect wet loose avalanches and cornice falls on Wednesday, but they will be less widespread and destructive than they were over the weekend due to the relatively cooler temperatures and thicker surface crusts. 

Snowpack Summary

A surface crust will form overnight and then gradually break down with daytime warming. Dry snow may still be found in high north-facing terrain (above roughly 2300 m). While there have been no recent avalanches on buried weak layers, there are a few layers that could potentially be triggered during periods of intense warming or by a heavy cornice fall. This includes a few crusts buried over the last month as well as a 150 cm deep facet layer from the mid-February cold snap.

Terrain and Travel

  • Minimize exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.
  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Natural wet loose avalanches are possible on steep slopes exposed to the sun. Activity will start on east-facing slopes in the morning, south-facing slopes throughout the day, and possibly continue on west-facing slopes into the evening.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices are large and fragile when exposed to the sun. Cornice falls are dangerous on their own and can possibly trigger avalanches on slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Apr 21st, 2021 4:00PM