Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 26th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada jfloyer, Avalanche Canada

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Recent storm snow is likely to still be reactive, particularly in wind-affected terrain and on slopes that face the sun. Watch out for reverse-loading in exposed terrain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the timing or intensity of solar radiation and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear and cold. A wind event is expected overnight blowing strong northerly winds.

SATURDAY: Clear in the morning becoming cloudy in the afternoon. Mostly light winds switching from northwesterly in the morning to southwesterly in the afternoon. Freezing level around 700 m.

SUNDAY: Flurries. Moderate southwesterly winds. Freezing level around 1200 m.

MONDAY: 20-30 cm new snow. Strong southwesterly winds. Freezing level around 1000 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday a couple of size 2 natural wind slab avalanches were noticed near Whistler in steep, northwesterly alpine terrain. A couple of human-triggered avalanches were also observed, one on north-facing terrain in the alpine and one on east-facing terrain below treeline. All these avalanches appear to have involved only the recent storm snow.

Snowpack Summary

Storm slabs formed by 20 cm of new snow and extreme east/southeast winds have formed touchy storm slabs that are expected to remain reactive to human triggers, especially in wind- and sun-affected terrain.

The new snow buried a variety of snow surfaces including wind pressed snow in the alpine, sun crusts on solar aspects, and a spotty layer surface hoar in some sheltered treeline areas.

Another weak layer buried in mid-February is composed of a crust, facets or spotty surface hoar depending on elevation/aspect, and is now down 50-80 cm. There have been no recent avalanches reported on this layer. Large triggers, such as an avalanche in motion, cornice fall, or intense loading from snow, wind and/or a rapid rise in temperature could awaken these deeper weak layers.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled and strong in most areas.

Terrain and Travel

  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind exposed terrain.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Extra caution is needed around cornices under the current conditions.
  • Avoid exposure to slopes that have cornices overhead.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Strong northerly winds are poised to set up a reverse-loading situation in exposed terrain for Saturday. Sunshine during the day could activate wind-loaded slopes.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices are large, looming, and require extra caution under the current conditions.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 27th, 2021 4:00PM