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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 21st, 2014–Dec 22nd, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

Excellent skiing reported around Hilda Ridge today.  The avalanche hazard will increase on Tuesday as a storm will hit with heavy snow and strong West winds.

Weather Forecast

Continued snow flurries with moderate W winds on Monday.  Snow begins on Tuesday afternoon intensifying through the night and then tapering by Wednesday afternoon with up to 20 cm expected.  Strong westerly winds will accompany this storm.  Seasonal temperatures that will fall after the storm has past.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slab forming on lee alpine ridge lines.  Large surface hoar crystals formed last week are being buried by new snow.  This layer is more likely found on sheltered slopes at tree line reaching into the alpine.  The interface between the strong mid-pack and weaker basal facets is most susceptible to human triggering from shallow rocky areas.

Avalanche Summary

Some minor loose snow sluffing on steep terrain.  No slab avalanches reported today.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind loading producing wind slabs on lee and cross loaded features predominately below alpine ridge lines.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

This layer can be found above 1900m and can be triggered from shallow areas in the snowpack.  A strong rain crust exists below tree line up to 1900m.
Carefully evaluate and use caution around thin snowpack areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3