Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 2nd, 2018 4:36PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada simonhorton, Avalanche Canada

Recent storm snow may remain reactive on wind-loaded terrain features and where it sits above crusts.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with some light flurries (accumulations of 1-3 cm), moderate west wind, alpine high temperatures near -6 C, freezing level up to 1200 m.WEDNESDAY: Increasing cloud, light to moderate southwest wind, alpine high temperatures near -4 C, freezing level up to 1400 m.THURSDAY: Light flurries with 5-10 cm of snow, moderate southwest wind, alpine high temperatures near -8 C, freezing level at valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, natural avalanches up to size 2 were reported in alpine terrain while skiers and explosives triggered several size 1 avalanches at lower elevations. The 20 cm of new snow was poorly bonding to the crust and produced slab avalanches in wind-affected terrain and loose dry avalanches elsewhere.On Sunday, small loose dry avalanches (size 1) were reported in steep terrain and one size 2 wind slab avalanche was triggered with explosives on a north aspect at 2100 m.On Saturday, a large slab avalanche was triggered in the west of the region. See this MIN post for a photo and more details. A small wind slab avalanche at treeline was also reported.

Snowpack Summary

15-25 cm of snow on Sunday night has fallen above a melt-freeze crust on sunny aspects and all aspects below 1700 m. The new snow has been wind-affected and may take awhile to bond to the crusts.A surface hoar and crust layer buried mid-March is found around treeline at a depth of about 80 cm, with weak surface hoar on northerly aspects and the crust elsewhere. Deeper in the snowpack, the late-November weak layer is composed of sugary facets around a crust, which is buried around 200 to 300 cm deep and is currently dormant.Cornices are large along ridgetops and were actively failing last week.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Storm slabs, as well as loose snow in sheltered areas, are not bonding well to underlying surfaces and will likely remain reactive. Large avalanches are possible on wind-loaded slopes.
Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Apr 3rd, 2018 2:00PM