Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 7th, 2019 4:35PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

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Expect to find touchy wind slabs in the region. Conservative decision-making is recommended.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing, freezing level below valley bottom.TUESDAY: Clear with afternoon clouds, light southwest winds, alpine temperature -12 C, freezing level below valley bottom.WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation trace to 5 cm, light to moderate southwest winds, alpine temperature -6 C, freezing level below valley bottom.THURSDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 5 cm, light to moderate southwest winds, alpine temperature -4 C, freezing level below valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

One large avalanche was observed on Sunday, which was suspected to have been a reloaded bed surface and possibly failing on the sugary faceted grains and sun crust described in the snowpack summary. Otherwise, no new avalanches were observed in the region.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs are reported as being widespread at treeline and alpine elevations. These formed from the recent storm that deposed 50 to 90 cm of snow with strong southwest winds. There have been reports that all this snow is not bonding well to underlying surfaces in areas. Below treeline, this new snow is likely settling and gaining strength.There are a few deeper weaknesses in the snowpack. Professionals are still tracking a layer around 150 to 200 cm deep, composed of sugary faceted grains, feathery surface hoar, and a sun crust. The base of the snowpack may also still be composed of weak faceted grains in parts of the region. The likelihood of triggering these deep weak layers is low and would most likely be triggered by humans in areas where the snowpack is shallow.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Winds were recently howling from the southwest, which produced fresh wind slabs. Expect to find touchy slabs in lee and cross-loaded terrain features.
Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.Observe for signs of instability: whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.Cornices may be touchy; stay well-back on ridges and avoid travelling beneath them.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 8th, 2019 2:00PM