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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 16th, 2013–Apr 17th, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Expect clouds to build through the day with alpine temperatures reaching -5 and winds turning southwesterly and easing to light. Freezing levels could reach 1400m. Isolated flurries are possible, with limited accumulations.Thursday: Cloudy skies with intermittent wet flurries. Alpine temperatures could reach -3 with freezing levels at 1500m. Winds remain light southwesterly. 5-10cm are possible.Friday: Expect continued unsettled skies with more isolated flurries, temperatures around -3 and light southwesterlies.

Avalanche Summary

The recent storm snow continues to be reactive to rider triggering and explosive testing but the size of the events has dropped to predominantly size 1.0. These avalanches are failing predominantly in wind loaded features on north through northeast aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Recent convective snowshowers (from Thursday to Sunday) deposited up to 40cm of new storm snow in some locations. The surface snow has been going moist on all aspects up to 1800m and higher in the alpine on solar aspects, and then crusting over at night. The underlying storm snow has settled into small soft slabs and the interfaces within this new snow are predominantly crusts (sun, wind and/or meltfreeze crusts). In high alpine start zones, the surface slabs are stiffer and may have more propensity for propagation. North winds have reverse loaded pockets of the most recent storm snow onto the melt freeze surfaces of south facing slopes, creating small, reactive slabs in unusual places.Buried 50-70cm is a melt-freeze crust from previous sunny weather. At the same interface spotty surface hoar lingers on high, sheltered north facing terrain. Where present, this surface hoar continues to yield sudden results in stability tests.Cornices are huge and have fresh tabs from the recent storm snow.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recently formed windslabs exist at treeline and above and some reverse loading has occurred with NE winds. It may be possible to step down to isolated surface hoar lingering on sheltered, high north facing slopes.
Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.>Be aware that areas have been reverse loaded by winds.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Cornices

Recent snow and wind has added mass to existing cornices.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 6