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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 22nd, 2025–Jan 23rd, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Consider danger HIGH in the alpine if you see 20 cm or more of new snow.

Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of rapid loading from new snow and wind.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several small size 1 wind slabs were triggered by riders near the Torpy area on Tuesday. These slabs failed on a slippery crust at treeline. The field team was also able to trigger small slabs on surface hoar and witnessed shooting cracks in the Pine Pass area. See photos below.

Keep posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

5-20 cm fell in the region on Monday night. An additional 5 to 20 cm is expected to fall overnight and through Thursday. This new snow combined with strong west though southwest winds is expected to raise the avalanche danger significantly. The highest snow amounts are forecast for the central region - areas like the Torpy and Sugarbowl.

Combined, this new snow is covering a variety of surfaces including: Old wind affected snow, crusts, facets and surface hoar.

We continue to track early January and early December surface hoar and crust layers down 30 to 50 cm and 80 to 130 cm, respectively. Both are considered unlikely to trigger.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow, highest amounts for the central region (Torpy and Sugarbowl). 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high temperature -6 °C.

Thursday

Cloudy with 2 to 10 cm of snow, highest amounts for the central region (Torpy and Sugarbowl). 40 to 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline high temperature -8 °C.

Friday

Mostly sunny. 30 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline high temperature -9 °C.

Saturday

Sunny. 25 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.
  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs are expected to build overnight and throughout the day. These slabs will be most prone to triggering on wind-loaded lee slopes and where they overlie weak surface hoar.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5