Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 12th, 2019–Mar 13th, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Avalanche control will occur on Wednesday on Mt. Bosworth, Stephen, Field and Dennis. No skiing or climbing in any of these areas please. Conditions are changing with the new snow, warmer temps and wind. Stay in front of the change - it happens fast.

Weather Forecast

A system crossing the area overnight on Tuesday will deposit another 5-10 cm before it ends mid-day on Wednesday. Temperatures will remain in the -10 range and winds look to be generally light.

Snowpack Summary

Strong SW winds overnight Monday have redistributed recent snow into wind slabs in open areas above treeline. This recent snow sits over weak facets, previous wind effect or sun crusts on steep solar aspects. The mid pack varies from supportive in thicker snowpack areas to weak and completely faceted in thin areas.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported on Tuesday, but small natural avalanches and spindrift were observed on Monday afternoon. Some of these traveled long distances entraining facets. Several skier triggered slabs have occurred in the last couple days, and avalanche control Sunday produced slabs up to size 2.5 running to treeline.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow and strong SW winds have built slabs in open areas above treeline. These slabs are sitting on the weak, faceted snow that was previously on the surface and as a result can run further than expected when triggered.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Loose Dry

Previous cold temperatures created weak, faceted surface snow. In steep terrain, these facets remain easily triggered and can gain enough mass to affect skiers and climbers. Narrow gullies are where this is most concerning.
Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where small avalanches may have severe consequences.Good group management is essential to manage current conditions safely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2