Avalanche Forecast

High - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Thursday

Tuesday offers a bit of a drying trend for most of the province. A low approaching from the Gulf of Alaska may bring some precipitation to the region beginning Wednesday afternoon.TUESDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level beginning at 700 m rising to 1400 m, light westerly wind, trace of precipitation possible. WEDNESDAY: Overcast, freezing level beginning at 800 m rising to 1100 m, light south wind, 4 to 6 mm of precipitation expected.THURSDAY: Broken cloud cover with some clearing in the afternoon, freezing level holding around 700 m, light to moderate south/southwest wind, 5 to 8 mm of precipitation possible.

A few skier triggered soft slabs size 1 to 1.5 were reported from west facing alpine terrain Sunday. These were likely running on the mid-March crust.Saturday's reported avalanche activity was limited to sluffing and snowballing in steep terrain. There was a rather anomalous size 3.5 that was seen on the Cheakamus Glacier from Whistler last Thursday.  We don't have details on the failure plane of this avalanche, but it may have run on the mid-February crust.

A new crust exists on the surface on solar aspects at all elevations. High elevation polar aspects (those facing north and east) continue to hold dry snow, this is also where new surface hoar has been spotted on the surface.5 to 20 cm of wind distributed snow fell last week which came to rest on the mid-March crust on all but high elevation north aspects.50 to 100 cm below the surface is a combination of facets, surface hoar, and/or crust known as the mid-February layer. This interface has not been active recently, but it does continue to produce resistant planar results in snowpack tests. The mid and lower snowpack is strong and well settled.Variable winds in the past month have built up cornices on many ridgelines. They will become touchier as daily temperatures rise and when they are subject to the strong early spring sun on clear days.