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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 9th, 2023–Mar 10th, 2023
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

The sun at this time of year can pack a punch so watch for signs of warming in recent snow on steep south aspects. In the north island around Mt Cain, wind slabs may be especially reactive due to an underlying crust.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations in the past 2 days.

Explosive control work produced size 1-2 storm/wind slab avalanches on Monday and Tuesday in the Mt Washington area.

Snowpack Summary

30-60 cm of recent snow has been redistributed at upper elevations. At lower elevations, it continues to settle amid mild temperatures. A sun crust or moist snow may exist on steep solar aspects.

The mid and lower snowpack is well consolidated, containing a series of well-bonded crusts.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Clear. Wind easing to light northeast. Alpine low -5 ËšC.

Friday

Mostly sunny. Light westerly wind. Alpine high of 0 ËšC.

Saturday

Snowfall starting, around 5 cm. Moderate southwesterly wind. Alpine high -1 ËšC.

Sunday

15-30 cm of new snow. Strong southwesterly wind. Alpine high -1 ËšC.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

The more the snow surface heats up, the more likely loose wet avalanches become in steep south facing terrain features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5