Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 14th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada Jonathan Simms, Parks Canada

Avoid exposure to large wind loaded alpine and tree line places!

Summary

Weather Forecast

The arctic air has arrived bringing cold temperatures and moderated to strong North and Easterly gusting winds. More detailed forecast at: Mountain weather forecast

Snowpack Summary

Strong NE winds past 36 hrs stripping and redistributing upper snowpack. Wide spread scouring in exposed places. Hard slabs, soft slabs, sastrugi now present. The Icefields area has a well bridged mid pack overlying basal facets and depth hoar. The northern region is weaker with less bridging midpack strength above basals and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Saturday's field team observed several large natural avalanches to size 3.5 from continued strong NE winds. Running on the ground. Ramp route on Athabasca peak today ran size 3.5 down to ice due to rapid loading. Several other natural and cornice triggered avalanches to size 3 observed on road patrol. Cornices loom large and threatening.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

New wind slabs forming with Strong NE winds past 36 hrs. This, in combination with basal facet issue, are producing random large destructive avalanches. 

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Several natural large avalanches observed today due to the combination of rapid wind loading initiating basal facets or reloaded bed surfaces.

Mnt Athabasca ramp route ran size 3.5 today.  Impressive avalanche running into the rock basin below.

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.
  • Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to weak layers at the base of the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Mar 15th, 2020 4:00PM

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