Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Banff Yoho Kootenay.
Excellent ski quality and coverage right now. Keep the avalanche problems in mind when considering exposing yourself to committing terrain.
Weather Forecast
An East/ South East flow will develop Friday and winds will increase into the moderate range. 5cm is possible Thursday night and very light amounts for Friday . Temperatures will decrease throughout the day and we will be in a deep freeze by Saturday with temperatures from -20 to -25C.
Snowpack Summary
15-25cm of snow over the last 2 days has been transported by moderate winds at upper elevations creating wind slabs on immediate lee slopes. On steep solar a thin crust has formed on the surface. We continue to monitor the deep, weak facetted snow in the shallower areas of the park.
Avalanche Summary
Direct observation of a natural size 3 cornice release from the postcard face on Cascade mountain Wednesday. The avalanche ran 1700m to the top of the run out zone. Another size 2 wind slab was observed from the last 24 hours on a S facing slope at 2300m on Observation Peak. Some sloughing has been observed in steep terrain.
Confidence
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
It is possible to trigger a wind slab in alpine and treeline features exposed to the wind, especially at ridge top. Forecast E/SE winds could mean reverse loading on ridge crests.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Deep Persistent Slabs
This problem is the sleeping giant who remains asleep right now until a significant change wakes them up again. Avalanches are most likely in areas with a thin snowpack (<130cm) where the basal facets and depth hoar are the weakest.
- Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
- Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could trigger the deep persistent slab.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5