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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 30th, 2014–Jan 31st, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

The recent snows fell on a variety of firm, old surfaces. Expect sluffs and loose dry avalanches to run fast and far.Avalanches could grow quickly as they entrain snow through the track.

Confidence

Fair - Wind speed and direction is uncertain on Friday

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: An approaching arctic airmass will bring dry cold conditions throughout the forecast periodFriday: Sunny with cloudy periods / Winds: light to moderate from the northwest / Freezing level: 500m.Saturday: Sunny with cloudy periods / Winds: light from the northwest / Freezing level: Valley bottom.Sunday: Sunny with cloudy periods / Winds: light from the northwest / Freezing level: Valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

We've been receiving occasional reports of avalanche activity occurring on week layers close to the ground suggesting they haven't gone away yet. However, as the temperatures drop and tighten up the snowpack triggering these layer will become increasingly difficult.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20cm of snow now overlies a variety of old surfaces including stubborn wind slabs in exposed upper elevation terrain, well developed surface hoar in sheltered terrain and a crust on south aspects.The recent prolonged warm temperatures formed a strong and supportive midpack. Closer to the ground, the two weak layers we've been worried about thus far this season (the late November surface hoar, and a crust/facet combo from October) are still there. While the increased strength of the overlying slab has made these layers have become increasingly unlikely to trigger, large and destructive avalanches are still possible with the right input such as a cornice fall or a heavy load over a thin spot in steep terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Variable and gusty north winds are expected to reverse load alpine lee features and form isolated pockets of soft, thin, reactive windslab .
Be cautious traveling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3