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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 19th, 2021–Dec 20th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Cariboos.

Continue to make conservative decisions as the storm snow settles and we learn more about how the early December layer has responded to the new load.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Sunday night: some light flurries with light Northwest winds. Low of -22 at 1600m.

MONDAY: no new snow expected. Light Northwest winds becoming strong in the afternoon. High of -18 at 1600m.

TUESDAY: Increasing cloudiness with flurries; 3-5 cm / Strong west wind / High of -15 at 1600m.

Wednesday: Up too 30cm of new snow with moderate Southwest wind. High of -15 at 1600m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed over the weekend.

If you are out in the mountains please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

Up too 20cm of recent new snow has been redistributed by Southwest winds. This has likely created wind slab on North and East facing features. As the wind shifts to the Northwest reverse loading is possible.

The prominent layer within the snow pack is the early December facet/crust combo. This layer generally exists below 1800m and is most concerning in the area west of Blue River.

Another crust layer near the bottom of the snowpack has not produced any recent avalanches but may be possible to trigger by hitting a shallow spot in the snowpack on a large alpine feature.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of a persistent slab.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slab has formed from Southwest winds. As the wind shifts to the Northwest unusual wind loading could take place.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

A layer of facets can be found above a crust from early December. This facet/crust combo is down 80 to 150cm and is most concerning in the terrain West of Blue River at the treeline elevation.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3