Up to 20cm of new snow has been forecast over the next 24 hours. There will be good skiing in sheltered treeline locations.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Starting this evening light rainfall will transition into snow. Amounts will be greatest at upper elevations where over the next 24 hours 20cm may fall. Winds will be light out of the NE at lower elevations and moderate SW near ridge tops gusting strong. The overnight temperatures may not allow for good crust formation at mid treeline elevations.
Snowpack Summary
Below Treeline a supportive 15cm melt freeze crust provides temporary stability above a wet and unconsolidated snowpack. The crust thins with elevation and on slopes which are not South facing. By mid afternoon, or earlier on very hot days, this crust will melt and the avalanche danger will elevate considerably. The base of the snowpack is weak.
Avalanche Summary
Evening rain may see a short lived spike in wet avalanches at lower elevations this evening. The falling temperatures will put a stop to this as the rain transitions to snow. Ridge top winds will produce soft slabs with the new snow and where this happens to fall on an established melt freeze crust bonding will likely be poor, at least initially.
Confidence
Track of incoming weather systems is uncertain