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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 6th, 2016–Mar 7th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Seek supported features without overhead hazard. Today's skier accidental at Bow Summit confirms that large avalanches can be triggered from shallow areas on large terrain features. See discussion.

Weather Forecast

A cooling trend is expected to start tomorrow along with tapering snowfall amounts. The freezing level is expected to be around the surface. Wind is Westerly and tapering to the light/moderate range towards the end of Monday.

Snowpack Summary

5-10cm of recent storm snow with West wind is forming cohesive slabs in lee areas up to 30cm deep. Discernable layers are difficult to identify below the storm snow, however expect a mix of facets and crusts and in shallow areas depth hoar. In shallow areas snowpack tests results are typically collapses on the ground.

Avalanche Summary

Forecasters received a report of a skier accidental size 2 in the slide path above Peyto Lake, which is accessed from Bow Summit. The party indicated they received numerous whumphs while approaching the slope. They then committed to the slope and the second skier triggered the slide. 15-100cm deep, 30m wide and 300m long. No burials or injuries.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Monday

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The mid-pack facets remain weak, especially in thin or rocky areas. Avoid steep or unsupported terrain, and watch for signs of instability such as whumphing and cracking. This weakness will be present for some time.
Minimize exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

W winds have created small wind slabs in leeward ares near ridge crests. Use common sense to avoid these places, and pay attention to the snow surface conditions while touring - you can usually detect wind slabs easily.
If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Warm temperatures over the weekend combined with moderate west winds and some light precipitation could result in increased cornice failures. Minimize your exposure to cornices.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2