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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 30th, 2025–Jan 31st, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

The new snow needs time to strengthen and bond, avalanches remain possible.

Deeply buried layers are still a concern in very large alpine terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

One very large natural avalanche was observed on Wednesday (size 3.5) on a northerly aspect at 1800 m. This likely failed on the buried weak layer from December. A reminder that this layer is still capable of producing large avalanches from time to time.

Wednesday's storm also caused a numbers natural avalanches at treeline and below treeline (size 1 and 2).

Snowpack Summary

20 to 40 cm of snow fell on Wednesday, with southwest winds depositing more in lee areas. This new snow may bond poorly to underlying layers, which could include:

  • Large surface hoar crystals in sheltered spots at treeline and below

  • Crusts on solar slopes

  • Old wind-affected snow

A layer of surface hoar from early January is buried 20 to 60 cm deep, though it's uncertain whether this layer will persist.

100 to 200 cm deep in the snowpack are layers of crust, facets, and possibly surface hoar that were buried in December. This deeper layer has recently caused very large avalanches (size 3.5)

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with up to 3 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Friday

Mix of sun and cloud with 3 to 8 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud with 3 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Sunday

Sunny. 50 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -18 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Carefully manage your exposure to overhead hazards.
  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.
  • Investigate the bond of the recent snow before committing to your line.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

20 to 40 cm of fresh snow may bond slowly to underlying layers. Storm slabs could be extra deep and reactive on wind-loaded features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

The 100 to 200 cm deep weak layer from early December continues to produce large avalanches

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2.5 - 4