Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 28th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada dsaly, Avalanche Canada

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There is a lot of uncertainty with the reactivity of deeply buried weak layers. Conditions like this are best managed by sticking to lower-angle terrain away from any overhead hazard.

Read more in the latest Forecaster Blog.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported in the past few days in the region, however observations are limited.

Looking forward, wind slabs will continue to form but concern for step-down and large natural and human-triggered deep persistent slab avalanches is at the forefront of our minds. Check out this video on incremental loading to learn more.

If you are out in the backcountry please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

Northerly winds have impacted 10-30 cm recent snow at upper elevations. Previous warm temperatures and precipitation have left a crust below recent snow at lower treeline elevations and on steep solar aspects.

Snowpack depths are shallower than average, and several buried weak layers have been a concern over the past few weeks. Surface hoar or crust layers in the mid-snowpack may exist in this region.

The most concerning layer in this area is at the base of the snowpack. Large, weak facets buried in November are widespread. This layer is most likely problematic in steep, rocky alpine terrain, where shallower wind slab avalanches can scrub down to these basal facets.

Weather Summary

Saturday night

Clear and with gusty ridgetop winds. Ridge wind northwest 15-30 km/hr. Alpine temperature -25 C.

Sunday

Sunny in the morning with increasing clouds throughout the day. Ridge wind northwest 20-40 km/hr. Alpine temperature -18 C.

Monday

Increasing cloud. Ridge wind west 30-50 km/hr. Alpine temperature rising to -12 C.

Tuesday

Flurries, 5 cm. Ridge wind west 30-40 km/hr. Alpine temperatures -14 C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.
  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent north and easterly winds have redistributed recent snow and pressed surfaces. Expected continued transport and new slabs where wind impacts loose snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

A layer of large and weak facets sits near the base of the snowpack. This layer has been most reactive in upper treeline/lower alpine elevations. Riders are most likely to trigger an avalanche on this layer in steep, shallow previously undisturbed terrain, or by first triggering a layer further up in the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Jan 29th, 2023 4:00PM

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