Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 4th, 2017 4:34PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jsmith, Avalanche Canada

Touchy storm slabs reactive to human triggers. Conservative decision making will be CRITICAL to playing safe in the mountains this weekend.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: 15-20 cm new snow/ Strong, southwest winds/ Freezing level 250m.Sunday: 5-10 cm new snow/ Moderate, southwest winds/ Freezing level 250m.Monday: 0-5 cm new snow/ Light southwest winds/ Freezing level sea level.Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with flurries/ Light, southwest winds/ Freezing level sea level.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, numerous skier triggered avalanches up to size to 2 were reported near Whistler. Human triggered avalanches are expected to remain very likely throughout the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

30-40 cm of new snow has buried a wide variety of old snow surfaces including stiff wind slab or wind effected snow at upper elevations, sun crust on steep southerly slopes, surface hoar and surface facets in sheltered locations. An additional 15-20 cm is expected by Sunday morning, bringing storm totals to 40-60 cm. The mid-January interface (facets) is buried approximately 60-100 cm down and recent snowpack tests have shown hard, yet sudden planar results. The mid and lower snowpack is generally well settled (strong). However, there remain a number of facet and crust layers that are currently dormant but will require monitoring with additional loading.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Touchy storm slabs reactive to human triggers. Don't forget about what's above your head. Natural avalanches starting in the alpine may run long distances.
Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 5th, 2017 2:00PM