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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 27th, 2012–Jan 28th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Saturday: very light snowfall with moderate amounts by the evening / moderate southwest winds with strong gusts / freezing level rising from 500m to 900m throughout the day Sunday: moderate snowfall / strong southwest winds / freezing level rising to 1200m Monday: light snowfall / moderate southwesterly winds / freezing level at 800m

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity has been reported from the region.

Snowpack Summary

Mother nature pummeled the Sea to Sky region throughout the week. Over 115cms of snow that fell since last weekend has now settled to about 80cm. Recent southwest winds have consistently hovered in the strong to extreme category and wind drifts have been reported up to 3 metres high. The recent storm snow is resting on a variety of older snow surfaces. These surfaces include previous cold, dry low density snow which may have had seen some faceting, old wind slabs, and crusts. These interfaces have most likely gained considerable strength, but it is reasonable to believe that any avalanche activity could step down to any of these interfaces.Previous concerns about deeper persistent weak layers appear to have diminished.Snowpack depths at treeline are in the region of 260 cm.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Heavy snowfall amounts and strong winds have set up new wind slabs. They may be found in unsuspecting places lower on the slope.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Storm Slabs

Heavy amounts of storm snow have fallen on a variety of old surfaces. A deeper release is decreasing in probability, but would have a high consequence

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 5

Cornices

Strong winds and new snow have added mass to sensitive cornices. They may be destructive by themselves, and may also be a trigger for the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 6