Alpine temperatures are forecast to climb to +10 on Tuesday! Check out the latest forecaster's blog posts for advice on how to manage these changing conditions.
Summary
Confidence
Fair
Weather Forecast
Tuesday: Mainly sunny with valley fog. The above freezing layer (AFL) is expected to strengthen with temperatures rising to near +10 in the alpine. Winds are moderate from the northwest. Wednesday and Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud with valley fog. The AFL persists between 1000 and 2500 m, but temperatures should cool slightly. Winds are light to moderate from the northwest.
Avalanche Summary
There are no new reports or observations of natural or human triggered avalanches from the past 2 days, and I suspect there were a lot of people in the mountains on the weekend. There was a size 2 accidentally triggered slab avalanche in the Spearhead Range on Thursday. A thin wind slab was triggered near ridge top on a relatively low-angle slope, which then stepped down to a weak layer approximately 100 cm deep lower on the slope. This avalanche is suspected to have released on the early January surface hoar layer.
Snowpack Summary
The snow surface consists of thin new wind slabs, a sun crust, dry snow, or feathery surface hoar depending on aspect and elevation. Below this 40-70 cm of storm snow sits on a weak layer of surface hoar, facetted snow, and/or a crust. Snowpack tests continue to yield moderate sudden planar, or "pops", results on this interface. No significant weaknesses have been reported recently below this in the mid snowpack layers. Near the base of the snowpack, a crust/facet layer exists, which is now unlikely to be triggered, except perhaps by heavy triggers in steep, shallow, rocky terrain where more facetting has taken place.