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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 9th, 2020–Jan 10th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

Human triggered avalanches are likely. Choose the terrain you enter wisely.

Weather Forecast

Scattered cloud, light precip up to 5cm and cool temperatures with light winds from the west forecasted for Friday and Saturday. Cloudy and cooling significantly and up to 10cm forecasted Sunday. 

Visit CAA's Mountain Weather Forecast for more specific details.

Snowpack Summary

A total of 60cm settling storm snow since January 1st. Wind effect and slab formation on lee aspects in the alpine and treeline. This overlies buried surface hoar up to 2200m in sheltered areas as well as buried wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. Well consolidated midpack. The bottom of the snowpack consists of depth hoar and facets

Avalanche Summary

Widespread avalanche cycle night of January 7th through January 8th up to size 3 on all aspects and elevations. Consisting of wind slab, dry loose and failing at ground

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Avalanche activity related to wind slabs will taper off Friday but human triggered avalanches are still likely

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

On Wednesday numerous avalanches were observed throughout the region that failed to ground

  • Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
  • Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Dry

Caution in steep gullies and terrain traps where a small sluff could have large consequences. Avoid terrain where this problem can initiate slab avalanches on deeper layers.

  • Watch for terrain traps where small amounts of snow will acumulate into deep deposits.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2