Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Rockies.
Confidence
Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday
Weather Forecast
The weak ridge that brought cooler and drier conditions on Saturday is expected to be pushed out of the region by Sunday morning. Warm moist air should bring cloud and rising freezing levels to about 1000 metres on Sunday. The winds are expected to build from the southwest on Monday, and moderate precipitation should start to accumulate snow by late afternoon. A trailing cold front is forecast for Tuesday. Snowfall amounts are un-certain and will depend on how much moisture is in the area when the cooler air arrives.
Avalanche Summary
Skiers remotely triggered a size 2.0 slide from 10 metres away, that was 60 cm deep, 70 metres wide, and 75 metres in length. Natural avalanche activity reported today was limited to a natural wind slab release size 2.5 from an North-East aspect. We continue to get reports of old activity that occurred during the recent storm.
Snowpack Summary
Tests in Hartly Creek today showed easy results down 20 cm on a layer of stellar crystals. Height of snow in the Koko Claims area is 120 cm at 200 metres. The mid-december surface hoar is down about 30 cm. The mid-pack is generally well consolidated, and there is a 20 cm layer of 4F facets and depth hoar at the ground. The surface hoar is producing easy to moderate shear test results.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 4
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 3 - 5