Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 28th, 2016 7:21AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada pmarshall, Avalanche Canada

New snow may not bond well to the older snow surface, especially in wind-loaded terrain. Choose your lines carefully and avoid exposure to terrain traps.

Summary

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Monday: 5-10 cm overnight then cloudy with sunny breaks and a chance of flurries. The freezing level rises to around 1200-1400 m during the day. Ridge winds are moderate or strong from the W-NW, easing to light during the day. Tuesday: Increasing cloud with flurries developing. The freezing level is around 1400 m and winds ease to light. Wednesday: Cloudy with light snow. The daytime freezing level is steady near 1400 m and winds remain light.

Avalanche Summary

Recent avalanche activity has included isolated natural wind slabs to size 2, loose wet sluffs or pinwheeling on steep sun-exposed slopes, and isolated natural cornice failures. In some cases the cornice falls triggered small slabs below. There was one report of a size 1 skier-triggered wind slab on a NW aspect at treeline on Saturday. This avalanche was just north of Wells.

Snowpack Summary

25-40 cm of new storm snow sits on a crust on solar aspects and lower elevation terrain, and surface hoar on shady and sheltered slopes. A couple sun crusts might exist in the top 50 cm on southerly aspects. New wind slabs will continue to develop with forecast snowfall and moderate northwest-southwest winds in the alpine. The surface hoar and/or crust layer which was buried February 10 is now down 70-100cm but triggering this layer has become unlikely. Large cornices have recently been a concern but should also gain strength will colder temperatures.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
New storm slabs may be susceptible to rider triggering, especially in terrain loaded by strong NW-SW winds and on steep convex rolls.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 29th, 2016 2:00PM