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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 11th, 2017–Jan 12th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Wind slabs are slowly gaining strength but you can expect those on south aspects to become touchy with any solar radiation on Thursday.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud with no new snow. Winds light from the west. Possible temperature inversion with alpine temperatures to -8.Friday: Cloudy with sunny periods and no new snow. Winds moderate from the southwest. Alpine temperatures of -6.Saturday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Winds moderate to strong from the southwest. Freezing level rising to 1300 metres with alpine temperatures to -1.

Avalanche Summary

A MIN report from Tuesday details a skier triggered avalanche involvement in our region. The avalanche was triggered in a rocky section of a steeper southeast-facing slope where there appeared to be evidence of recent wind loading. Other reports from Tuesday include several Size 1.5-2 avalanches running naturally in steep west and northwest-facing terrain in the north of the region.

Snowpack Summary

25-30cm of low density snow fell over Sunday and Monday in the southern (Coquihalla) area, while northern sections received 7-15cms of new snow. During the storm, moderate southwesterly winds redistributed the new snow onto north and east aspects, forming reactive soft slabs. After the storm, winds shifted to classic outflow (northerly) patterns with moderate winds at ridge top. This pattern resulted in 'reverse loading' of wind slabs onto southerly slopes. These wind slabs are the primary weaknesses of concern in the snowpack. Below these slabs, a mix of soft wind slabs, hard wind slabs, sastrugi, faceted snow, and even some surface hoar can be found, the result of last weeks cold temperatures and strong winds. These older wind slabs (on south to west aspects) remain a concern in our current snowpack with recent cold temperatures having slowed their healing into the snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs have formed on a wide range of aspects through the combination of a southwesterly storm flow and subsequent northerly outflow winds. Tune in to patterns of wind loading as you travel and be especially cautious of thin trigger points.
Choose well supported terrain and avoid convexities.Watch for areas of hard wind slab in steep alpine features.Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2