Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 27th, 2015 7:50AM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

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Summary

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Clear overnight with freezing down to valley bottoms and temperatures close to -15 in the alpine. Light northwest winds and clear skies with freezing levels rising to near 1000 metres on Saturday. Some cloud developing Saturday night and continuing during the day Sunday with no precipitation and light southwest winds. Cloudy with a couple of cm of new snow and moderate northerly winds on Monday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

Light amounts of wind-pressed snow (5-20 cm) cover the previous variable snow surface of surface hoar, crusts, or wind affected snow depending on aspect and elevation. The "Valentine's Day" crust is just below the surface and is now strong and thick in most places. Isolated thin wind slabs may still be reactive in high elevation lee terrain, and cornices remain large and weak. The late-Jan crust/surface hoar layer (up to 100 cm deep) and the mid-January surface hoar (80-120 cm deep) are generally dormant, and chances of triggering these weaknesses have decreased dramatically. However, triggering may be possible with a large input such as cornice fall, or an avalanche stepping down, especially on slopes that see a lot of sun.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Triggering persistent slab avalanches has become unlikely, but may be possible with large loads like cornice falls. Periods of strong solar radiation may allow for triggering from weak thin snowpack areas.
Watch for clues, like sluffing off of cliffs, that the snowpack is warming up. >Conditions have greatly improved, but be mindful that deep instabilities are still present.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

3 - 5

Valid until: Feb 28th, 2015 2:00PM