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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 3rd, 2017–Dec 4th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Sheltered tree line slopes will offer excellent skiing. 

Weather Forecast

Stagnant weather system into the beginning of the week with cool temperatures, clearing skies, light winds and no precipitation.  Could this be the beginning of the cursed drought???

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs in exposed lee features. A significant crust (black friday, Nov.23) can be found down 30 to 70cms. A persistent slab overlays this crust and so far the bond appears to be strengthening at this interface. The Halloween crust sits well down in the snowpack at TL locations and as high as 2700m.

Avalanche Summary

Several old (+48hrs) slab avalanches to size 2.5 in steep alpine terrain on North aspect observed around the Churchill Range.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs are present on lee aspects.  Bond strength of these slabs to the snowpack below is uncertain. 
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3