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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 15th, 2016–Feb 16th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

High winds and new snow have built wind slab, continue to choose conservative lines to ride and be aware of what lurks overhead while climbing in confined gullies.

Weather Forecast

5cm of snow arriving tonight for the Icefields Parkway with freezing levels around 1300m. Alpine high of -6 tomorrow with flurries and SW winds, 20km/hr gusting to 50km/hr. Another pulse arriving Thursday bringing 5-10cm, high winds and freezing levels to 2000m.

Snowpack Summary

5-10cm of snow in past 72 hours being distributed by mod-strong SW winds. New wind slab forming in areas where snow available for transport. Solar aspects have a breakable crust 10cm thick. Mid-pack consists of buried wind and persistent slab, which lay on a bed of basal facets. Decomposing surface hoar found ~40cm down but distribution is spotty.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches observed. Recent cooler temps have refrozen solar aspects and 'tightened' up the snowpack in the wake of last weeks high freezing levels and widespread natural avalanche cycle.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Previously formed slabs now comprise the upper and mid-pack in many locations. Natural and human triggered avalanches are possible.
Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Strong winds have redistributed storm snow and wind slab can be found at all elevations. Caution on cross loaded gullies and lee aspects.
Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2