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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 25th, 2018–Jan 26th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Recently formed storm slabs are expected to remain reactive to human triggers, especially in wind effected areas at treeline and above.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with flurries / Light southwesterly ridgetop winds / Freezing level around 500m.SATURDAY: 5-10 cm of new snow / Moderate to strong southwesterly ridgetop winds / Freezing level around 700m.SUNDAY: 10-20 cm of new snow / Strong southwesterly ridgetop winds / Freezing level rapidly rising to around 1800m.

Avalanche Summary

Two size 1.5-2 naturally triggered wind slabs were reported on west, northwest aspects in this region on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of new snow on Thursday morning brings recent storm totals to 60-90cm. Moderate southerly winds continue to redistribute the new snow. Last weekend's strong to extreme southeasterly ridgetop winds likely created dense storm slabs lurking in lee and cross-loaded features at treeline and above.90-120cm below the surface you'll likely find a few crusts that were buried during the first few weeks of January. Due to limited observations, not much is known about the current reactivity of these layers.The lower snowpack includes the mid-December crust layer. I'd expect an improving bond at this interface; however, the load of the new snow may tip the balance and reactivate this layer in isolated terrain - particularly in the north of the region where it's shown prolonged reactivity in snowpack tests.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow and wind continue to build storm slabs reactive to human triggers.
The new snow may require several days to settle and stabilize.Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.Be cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2