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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 25th, 2017–Apr 26th, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Even short solar inputs will increase the reactivity of the new snow.  Watch for changing conditions through the day.

Weather Forecast

Clearing overnight with increased cloud cover Wednesday morning, more precipitation is forecasted with amount ranging from 5-10cm. Winds are expected to remain light in the alpine. Temperatures will hover around zero degrees for the valley with alpine temperature in the -5 to -10 range.

Snowpack Summary

20-40cm of new snow overnight with minimal winds Tuesday kept the storm snow light in the alpine, steep solar aspects and lower elevations did see settlement and moistening in the storm snow. The new snow sit over numerus melt freeze crust's on all aspects below 2300m and high alpine on solar. The basel weakness still persist at higher elevations.

Avalanche Summary

Numerus loose dry avalanches to size 1.5 have released in the storm snow, although no real slab has developed in the new snow, the storm interface is touchy and easy to trigger loose avalanches.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Brief solar input's or warmer then anticipated temperatures will rapidly moisten the new snow.
If triggered the loose wet sluffs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Pay attention to sluffing off cliffs and steep solar terrain, signs of a warming snowpack.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

The snowpack is gaining strength, but the weak basal facets continue to produce sudden collapse results and can produce large avalanches with large triggers or heat. Stick to planar, supported slopes with a deeper snowpack when entering steep terrain
Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger the deep persistent slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Loose Dry

Up to 40cm of new snow monday night has had little inputs from the wind, sun or warming temperatures at higher elevations. The new snow has stayed relatively dry and easy to trigger, causing loose avalanches that can entrain a lot of snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2