Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 6th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Deep Persistent Slabs and Loose Dry.

Parks Canada Benjamin Firth, Parks Canada

Email

Up to 15cm of new snow forecasted Tuesday afternoon. Careful terrain considerations will be key to avoiding involving yourself in an avalanche. Avoid wind loaded features underfoot, or those that are overhead.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Cooler temperatures, light winds and high overcast will continue into Tuesday morning. Tuesday afternoon tempratures will warm and up to 15cm's of new snow may fall with winds shifting slightly to come from the south. Mid to late in the week it will cool again with a clearing trend

Visit CAA's Mountain Weather Forecast for more specific details.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 30cm of settling new snow below treeline overlies buried surface hoar up to 2200m in sheltered areas. Moderate SW winds continue to build on existing wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. The bottom of the snowpack consists of well developed facets, depth hoar, and decomposing crusts.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity observed or reported today due to limited field observations. In the last 48 hours some natural activity was noted up to size 3 out of steep alpine features. Explosive triggered avalanches up size 2.5 failing at ground from avalanche control conducted January 5th

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Widespread wind effect at treeline and above. Consider avoiding terrain which is thin to thick and/or significant overhead wind loaded features.

  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.
  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

This weakness could be triggered by large loads or from thin spots in the snowpack. All explosive triggered avalanches today at treeline and below failed on or close to the ground.

  • Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

Caution in steep gullies and terrain traps where a small sluff could have large consequences. Avoid terrain where this problem can initiate slab avalanches on deeper layers.

  • Watch for terrain traps where small amounts of snow will acumulate into deep deposits.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Jan 7th, 2020 4:00PM

Login