Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Jasper.
Up to 15cm of new snow forecasted Tuesday afternoon. Careful terrain considerations will be key to avoiding involving yourself in an avalanche. Avoid wind loaded features underfoot, or those that are overhead.
Weather Forecast
Cooler temperatures, light winds and high overcast will continue into Tuesday morning. Tuesday afternoon tempratures will warm and up to 15cm's of new snow may fall with winds shifting slightly to come from the south. Mid to late in the week it will cool again with a clearing trend
Visit CAA's Mountain Weather Forecast for more specific details.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 30cm of settling new snow below treeline overlies buried surface hoar up to 2200m in sheltered areas. Moderate SW winds continue to build on existing wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. The bottom of the snowpack consists of well developed facets, depth hoar, and decomposing crusts.
Avalanche Summary
No new natural avalanche activity observed or reported today due to limited field observations. In the last 48 hours some natural activity was noted up to size 3 out of steep alpine features. Explosive triggered avalanches up size 2.5 failing at ground from avalanche control conducted January 5th
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Widespread wind effect at treeline and above. Consider avoiding terrain which is thin to thick and/or significant overhead wind loaded features.
- Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.
- If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Deep Persistent Slabs
This weakness could be triggered by large loads or from thin spots in the snowpack. All explosive triggered avalanches today at treeline and below failed on or close to the ground.
- Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
- Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Loose Dry
Caution in steep gullies and terrain traps where a small sluff could have large consequences. Avoid terrain where this problem can initiate slab avalanches on deeper layers.
- Watch for terrain traps where small amounts of snow will acumulate into deep deposits.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 1.5