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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 2nd, 2017–Mar 3rd, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Storm and wind slab avalanches will become more likely and larger with continued strong winds, snow and warming temperatures.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Snow flurries with another 5-10cm of accumulation. Moderate SW winds. Temperatures starting to cool with freezing level lowering to around 900m.SATURDAY: Cloudy with scattered flurries bringing another 5cm. Light southerly winds and freezing levels dropping to 700 m.SUNDAY: Cloudy with scattered flurries bringing another 5cm. Light southerly winds and freezing levels dropping to 500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Wednesday include several skier and explosives triggered storm slab avalanches up to Size 1.5 and natural soft wind slab avalanche up to Size 2. Of note was one remotely triggered Size 1.5 30cm thick wind slab avalanche from a skier 7m away that ran on facets overlying a crust that formed mid-February.

Snowpack Summary

20-50 low density fresh snow is bonding poorly to previously wind-affected surfaces (e.g. scoured crust, hard sastrugi, or stubborn wind slabs) in exposed areas, or around 20 cm of faceted snow in sheltered areas.  Strong southerly winds have scoured wind-exposed slopes and deposited deep drifts on lee aspects. A crust from mid-February is below all this, down around 50-70cm. Recent snowpack tests have been giving moderate sudden results in facets above this crust. The mid and lower snowpack are well settled and strong.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Touchy storm slabs will form with continued snowfall and warming temperatures, and expected to be especially deep and touchy on wind loaded slopes.
Storm snow is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3