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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 30th, 2021–Dec 31st, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

Wind slabs may remain touchy. Carefully evaluate steep terrain features.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with no precipitation, 10 to 20 km/h north wind, alpine temperature -22 C.

FRIDAY: Clear skies with no precipitation, 10 to 20 km/h north wind, alpine temperature -22 C.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm, 30 to 60 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -17 C.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 15 cm, 20 to 40 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -14 C.

Avalanche Summary

A suspected persistent slab avalanche was observed in the region on Wednesday, that released naturally within the past couple of days. It likely started around 2200 m on a steep northwest aspect. Information on its release was not available due to poor visibility.

We'd appreciate if you submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network, even just a photo.

Snowpack Summary

Thin wind slabs may have formed from Wednesday night's 5 cm of snow and wind from variable directions. These slabs could remain touchy to riders, as they sit on previously wind-affected snow, sugary faceted grains, and/or surface hoar in areas sheltered from the wind.

A weak layer of feathery surface hoar may be found around 20 to 50 cm deep. It is most likely found in sheltered terrain features in the lower alpine and treeline, or open features below treeline (e.g., cut blocks). Although we haven't received reports of this layer being a concern, it has been noted in neighbouring regions.

Sugary faceted grains may be found around the early-December melt-freeze crust 60 to 100 cm deep. The layer exists up to around 2000 m. This layer is spatially variable and may only be a problem in select parts of the region. Read more about it here. We haven't received reports of recent avalanche activity on this layer. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may be found in steep terrain features near ridges. They may be touchy to riders and could take some time to bond to the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2