Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 21st, 2013 9:10AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada slemieux, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Timing of incoming weather is uncertain on Wednesday

Weather Forecast

Monday night and Tuesday: Another day with the upper ridge pattern. Few high clouds with valley clouds above the main valleys, strong Westerlies becoming moderate, the inversion will start to erode and freezing levels also starting to drop. Wednesday: A system coming from the Pacific will begin to affect the region bringing moderate precipitation, cooler temperatures and lowering freezing level to the surface, with moderate SW winds.Thursday: Lingering precipitation from the system with moderate to strong W winds. Temperatures staying cool.

Avalanche Summary

A few small natural slab and loose avalanches up to size 1.5 were reported which would have initiated in steep E and NE aspects. 

Snowpack Summary

A thin layer of new snow is sitting on windslabs in the alpine and at treeline and above a well settled 40 cm of snow. A crust is present on S facing slopes. A surface hoar layer is found under the top 40 cm and is reactive especially below 1500 m. in sheltered areas.  This weak layer is becoming less of a concern for the professional but still produces a variety of test results. The distribution of this weak is patchy, but where it exist, it may be triggered with the weight of a person or snowmobile. A strong mid-pack overlies a weak facet/crust layer near the base of the snowpack, which is now considered inactive.  

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Solar radiation and mild temperatures could weaken some steep S facing slopes.
Avoid wind loaded convex features.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
A cautious approach is recommended on steep S slopes and sheltered terrain below treeline.
Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.>Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 5

Valid until: Jan 22nd, 2013 2:00PM