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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 4th, 2014–Dec 5th, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Expect a big difference in precipitation amounts and temperatures from Howe Sound (warm and wet) up to Whistler (not quite as warm or wet). Regional conditions could vary quite a bit this weekend.

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Friday: Cloudy with showers or flurries (trace to 5mm). The freezing level is 1800-2000 m. Ridge winds are 30 gusting to 50 km/h from the south. Saturday: Periods of rain of snow (10-20 mm). The freezing level should drop from 2100 to 1600 m. Winds ease to light from the southwest. Sunday: Probably a drier day. Freezing levels should jump up to 2000-2200 m. Winds are moderate from the south.

Avalanche Summary

There was one report of an avalanche that released from a rocky sun-exposed slope near Whistler on Tuesday, but details on this slide are limited. No other avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

The current snow surface is highly variable with surface hoar or facetted snow reported in sheltered areas, and pockets of wind slab or a crust (from last weeks rain) in open wind-exposed terrain. Recent cold temperatures have created a strong temperature gradient in the upper snowpack resulting in facetting of the most recent snow. Winds during the past week have been variable and have blown snow into dense wind slabs on a variety of aspects or has cross-loaded gulley features. A solid rain crust is buried 10-20 cm deep at and below treeline. Another crust that was buried in mid-November is down 40-60 cm. The snow pack depth drops significantly below treeline with essentially no snow below 1600 m.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slabs may form on north to east facing slopes. These wind slabs may be sitting on a slick crust from last weeks rain and may not bond well. Old hard wind slabs may also be lurking on west or south facing slopes. 
Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds during the most recent dry spell.>Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

Choose well supported terrain without convexities.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4