Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 22nd, 2014 7:59AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is below threshold, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

We are operating with pretty low confidence due to the lack of data coming from the regions at this time. Send us a note with your observations to forecaster@avalanche.ca

Summary

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Expect a brief break in the wet weather to continue overnight and into Sunday. The next system should move into the Southeast regions on Sunday night or early Monday morning bringing moderate precipitation and Southwest winds. The Monday system is expected to be quickly followed by a large frontal system (warm, windy, and wet) on Tuesday.

Avalanche Summary

We have no reports of avalanches from this region. I suspect that recent storm slabs in the alpine may be easy to trigger where they are associated with a crust and/or facets.

Snowpack Summary

As we begin our forecasting season we are working with very limited field data. If you have been out in the mountains, please send us a note with your observations to forecaster@avalanche.ca.Early reports indicate there is currently not enough snow to ski or ride at treeline and below. Pockets of skiable terrain exist in the alpine, although access to these areas will likely be a challenge and many early season hazards exist. These pockets of high elevation terrain are the area's most likely to have an avalanche problem, especially as the storm slab develops with forecast snowfall. The developing storm slab may not bond well to the old surface of crusts, facets, and wind slabs.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Recent storm slabs may take a couple of days to settle and bond to the old surface. Storm slabs are expected to continue to develop with the forecast new snow and wind.
Early season hazards such as open crevasses, rocks, trees and stumps are still visible.>The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Nov 23rd, 2014 2:00PM

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