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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 4th, 2014–Feb 5th, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

CAC Mobile App version 3 is now available on iTunes and Google Play featuring the new Observer Network.  See this blog post for more details.

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Tonight and Wednesday: A ridge of high pressure is bringing cold and clear conditions. Strong winds from the E-NE are forecasted, mainly clear skies and temperatures around -25 C.Thursday: The ridge remains dominant bringing similar conditions except moderate winds becoming light from the NE and slightly warmer temperatures (-15 C).Friday: Similar conditions with lighter winds.

Avalanche Summary

Natural small loose snow avalanches were observed today out of extreme terrain. Yesterday, isolated pillows of wind slab formed in the immediate lee of ridge crests and were reactive to the weight of a skier. Small loose dry avalanches were also triggered by ski cuts in steep terrain features.

Snowpack Summary

5-10 cm of recent snow overlie a variety of surfaces from well developed surface hoar, to old unreactive wind slabs or a melt-freeze crust on previously sun-exposed slopes. Today, there has been some windslab development from N and NE winds, but there is still lots of loose snow available for transport.  With the forecasted strong winds tomorrow, expect more and probably touchier windslabs, especially in the alpine and below ridgetop at treeline on S and SW aspects. Weak faceted snow exists in the lower snowpack, particularly in areas where the snowpack is thinner. Although these weaknesses still appear in some snowpack tests, avalanches at this interface have become unlikely to trigger.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Strong forecasted winds and snow available for transport is likely going to create touchy windslabs that could easily be triggered by a sledder or skier. 
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong inicators of unstable snowpack.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3