Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 3rd, 2025 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeFresh snow and strong winds are forecast to intensify through Saturday.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Recent reports include rider-triggered wind slab avalanches in lee terrain features at upper elevations. (Click on photos below for details). With more snow and strong wind in the forecast, we expect slabs to increase in size and sensitivity as new snow accumulates.
Snowpack Summary
New snow will add to the recent 30 to 40 cm of settling snow from the last few days. 50 to 80 cm of older snow from last weekend is settling and bonding well to an underlying crust.
Below 1200 m, surfaces may be moist or crusty. The remainder of the snowpack has no current layers of concern.
Snowpack depths at treeline are approximately 200 cm on the north and south Island, and 300 cm on the central Island.
Weather Summary
Friday night
Cloudy, isolated flurries. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 900 m.
Saturday
Flurries, with 10 to 30 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy, isolated flurries, and sunny breaks. 20 to 30 km/h variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.
Monday
Sunny. 15 to 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +4 °C, freezing level rising to 2500 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
- Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
- Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Wind and flurries are forecast to intensify through Saturday. Expect fresh slabs to form as new snow accumulates.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 4th, 2025 4:00PM