Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 11th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Dry.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Start on small slopes and watch for signs of instability like shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Verify conditions in your area, recent snowfall has varied across the region.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, numerous small to large (up to size 2.5) human and naturally triggered avalanches were reported in the recent storm snow. Most of them occurred around treeline, and in some cases, an early January weak layer was mentioned as a possible factor.

Recently, there were reports of glide cracks opening up and glide slab avalanches up to size 2. Notably more than usual. This problem may exist only in these isolated features, but we'll see if a pattern emerges.

Snowpack Summary

Saturday's moderate northwest winds may have formed wind slabs on lee slopes at treeline and above.

In sheltered terrain, 50 to 40 cm of settling snow sits on a layer of weak, feathery crystals up to 10 mm in size (surface hoar), possibly even into the alpine. In some places this layer may include a crust due to solar effect or very high humidity.

A crust/facet/surface hoar layer (buried in early December) may be found 90 to 160 cm deep. It was previously most active south of Highway 5, but it no longer seems to be an avalanche problem for this forecast area.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with light flurries. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with 0 to 2 cm of snow. 15 to 25 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Monday

Mostly sunny. 20 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Possible temperature inversion above 2000 m. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Tuesday

Partly cloudy with light flurries. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Possible temperature inversion above 1500 m. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.
  • Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Human triggerable wind slabs may be found below ridgetops and in cross-loaded terrain. A layer of surface hoar buried in early January may be reaching a tipping point as the load above it increases, which could lead to wide propagations.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

In areas where the recent snow hasn't formed wind slabs, it may still avalanche under the weight of a human, especially in steep terrain, or where it sits on a potentially weak layer of surface hoar.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Jan 12th, 2025 4:00PM

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