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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 2nd, 2013–Feb 3rd, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Sunday: The ridge will start to weaken, allowing the next frontal system to move in. Skies will generally be cloudy and no significant precipitation is expected. Ridgetop winds moderate from the SW. Alpine temperatures -3.0 and freezing levels around 1100 m. Monday: Back to overcast, grey skies with ridgetop winds blowing light from the SW. Alpine temperatures -4.0 and freezing levels at 1200 m. Tuesday: The next frontal system moves onto the coast. Moderate snowfall amounts, accompanied by moderate ridgetop winds from the SW. Alpine  temperatures near -5.0 and freezing levels hovering around 1200 m.  

Avalanche Summary

The recent warming and solar influence triggered numerous loose wet natural avalanches were reported up to size 2.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs can be found behind ridges, ribs and on lee slopes (N-SE).The upper snowpack is showing continued settlement and gaining strength. In specific areas down 20-50 cm sits a weak interface comprising of crusts, facets and surface hoar crystals. Earlier this week, the interface was touchy in sheltered areas at treeline and below (where the surface hoar had a chance to form).Recent test results have confirmed hard sudden planar results. There has been no current activity or incidents reported on this layer, but should still be something to keep an eye on in your neck of the woods. Down deeper sits another surface hoar layer (40-80 cm) which seems to be gaining strength with very little recent reactivity on it.The mid pack is generally well settled, which may be bridging a basal facet/crust layer in deeper snowpack areas. The average snowpack depth at treeline is near 180 cm.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent winds have formed wind slabs on lee slopes (N-SE). Stiff, hollow snow and cracking below your feet is a good indicator of unstable snow.
Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>Conditions are improved, but be mindful that some buried weak layers may still be present at treeline and below treeline elevations.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4