Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Nov 22nd, 2016 4:04PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Weather Forecast
The deep low off the Pacific coast remains persistent with a solid southerly flow through Friday. Cooler air accompanies this low, keeping freezing levels steady near 1000 m. Precipitation amounts are inconsistent between the models and read higher on the regional. Expecting 10-25 cm of new snow and strong winds from the southeast tonight through Wednesday. Snow amounts up to 20 cm on Thursday with moderate-strong south wind. Freezing levels will start to drop Friday as the low moves south bringing another 10-20 cm and light north winds.
Avalanche Summary
Explosive results in the alpine showed numerous cornice releases up to size 2.0. Storm slabs will continue to built and remain touchy through the stormy forecast period.
Snowpack Summary
Snow depths are variable across the region with the snow line sitting around 1400 m. Recent storm snow accumulations 25 cm plus. Strong winds combined with the new snow will likely build touchy slabs on leeward slopes and terrain features at higher elevations. Average snowpack depths at treeline are 70-120 cm with the upper 40-60 cm sitting on a thick crust and solid mid pack. In the alpine snowpack depths are 150 cm plus with the crust down 85-100 cm. Forecast strong winds and more snow will likely build touchy wind slabs on leeward slopes and terrain features at higher elevations. When traveling in the mountains Id maintain an investigative approach and dig down to test for weak layers before committing to a slope. If you've been in the mountains, please share your observations on our Mountain Information Network.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Nov 23rd, 2016 2:00PM