Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 7th, 2014 8:39AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Monday
Weather Forecast
Tonight and Saturday: The ridge of high pressure is forecasted to rebuild prolonging the cold and dry conditions. Sky should clear up, winds to blow lightly from the NE winds with temperatures around -13 C. Sunday: Similar conditions are forecasted for Sunday. However, the ridge is expected to weaken as a low pressure system just offshore is approaching the coast. Expect increasing clouds and prepare for a change in the weather pattern.Monday: A more zonal flow is forecasted funneling low pressure systems through the region and spreading light to moderate precipitation with light SW winds. There is still lots of uncertainty about the timing and amounts of snow.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches were reported.
Snowpack Summary
Wind slabs 10-40cm thick have formed over the last few days in the alpine on various aspects. At treeline and below in sheltered areas approximately 5-15cm of light dry snow overlies a variety of old surfaces including surface hoar and/or a melt freeze crust on solar aspects. The cold temperatures continue to facet the near surface layers. This may improve the ski and sledding quality of the surface snow in the short term, however it also has the potential to create a weak layer if it is buried later in the season. The deep persistent layers of facets and depth hoar remain near the bottom of the snowpack and in shallow areas the entire snowpack consists of these weak crystals, which appear to have become less reactive with the current cold and static weather pattern. We expect that there has been little improvement in the bonding of these persistent weak layers during this cold period and they may still "wake up" (become reactive again) later in the season.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 8th, 2014 2:00PM