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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 17th, 2012–Feb 18th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
4-6cm are forecast West of the divide, and less to the East. Only isolated areas in the alpine have enough of a slab over the Valentines weak layer to be of concern, but where they exist they will be sensitive to triggering. SH

Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Avalanche Summary

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Saturday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

The Valentines surface hoar, facets will be buried anywhere from 5 cm - 30cm where drifted in on the immediate lees of ridge crests. These wind slabs will be thicker West of the divide and will have a small additional load this weekend.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Dry

In steep areas mainly West of the divide, watch out for new snow sloughing on surface hoar, facets or suncrust on steep solar aspects. This will increase with additional new snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1

Cornices

Large cornices on lee (mostly easterly) aspects still loom high overhead. Several large cornice collapses have been observed over the past week. The volume of cornice debris would be very detrimental to your day.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2