Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 29th, 2016 4:25PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada rbuhler, Avalanche Canada

Conservative terrain selection is recommended on Friday. Give the recent storm snow a couple days to settle and stabilize before pushing into big terrain features. Use extra caution on steep sun exposed slopes on Friday afternoon.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Mostly sunny conditions are expected on Friday. Alpine winds are forecast to be light to moderate from the north and freezing levels are expected to be around 700 m. Mostly cloudy conditions are forecast for Saturday with sunny breaks in the morning and light snowfall in the afternoon or evening. Alpine winds are forecast to become strong from the northwest and treeline temperatures are expected to be around -10C. A mix of sun and cloud is forecast for Sunday with moderate northeast winds in the alpine and treeline temperatures around -15C.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Thursday during the storm highlight widespread natural storm slab and loose dry avalanches from steep terrain and wind loaded terrain. As of Thursday afternoon, most of the reported activity was size 1 soft slab avalanches but they are described as very touchy, widespread, and remote triggers have been observed.  On Friday, new storm slabs are expected to remain touchy, especially in wind load terrain and on steep slopes.  Extra caution is recommended on steep sun exposed slopes where the sun may cause the new snow to settle into a slab or trigger natural sluffing. 

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of new low density snow is expected to accumulate by the end of the storm on Thursday. This brings the total storm snow amounts since Monday to 70-100 cm. Below the new snow from this week lies the Boxing Day interface which consisted of wind affected surfaces, faceted (sugary) snow, or surface hoar. Recent observations suggest the overlying snow is well bonded to this interface with exceptions for isolated areas where surface hoar may be preserved. Ongoing strong southerly winds during the storm have been loading leeward and cross loaded features in wind exposed terrain. The mid-December interface is now down 100-150 cm and is generally considered to be stable in most areas.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Storm slabs from Thursday may remain reactive to human triggering on Friday in wind loaded terrain and on steep slopes.  Watch for sluffing of the storm snow from steep terrain features.
Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.Avoid freshly wind loaded features.Give the new snow time to settle and stabilize before pushing into big terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 30th, 2016 2:00PM