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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 12th, 2011–Dec 13th, 2011
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Cloudy with a chance of flurries. Ridgetop winds light-moderate from the northwest. Treeline temperatures near -6 with freezing levels at valley bottom. Wednesday/Thursday: Moderate snowfall amounts expected. Winds switching to moderate north westerlies.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no recent avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

The snow surface is wind hammered in windward and exposed areas, a strong melt-freeze crust on solar aspects, and dry faceted powder with large surface hoar on shady sheltered slopes. A thick rain crust is down 20-40cm and extends up to treeline elevations. The midpack consists of recently settled snow where the weak interfaces have gained strength. Down 100-200cm are two more crusts combined with a mixture of surface hoar. The base of the snowpack consists of mixed forms (rounding facets/rounding depth hoar) with an associated crust are prevalent, and have been especially problematic where it is overlying summer firn.

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The likelihood of triggering a large avalanche is low, but it still makes sense to keep the deep weaknesses on your radar. The greatest concern is on steep, unsupported slopes with variable snowpack depths above 1900m.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 2 - 5