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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 10th, 2020–Dec 11th, 2020
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Despite the lack of natural activity, there is a lot of new snow present.  Remember Moderate means human triggering remains possible.

Weather Forecast

Cooler temperatures, no snow, calm to light winds and mostly clear skies are forecasted for the next few days.

Snowpack Summary

40cm of storm snow from Dec 8th with moderate SW winds resulted in mainly ridgetop or exposed treeline wind slabs. The snow is settling. It overlies a variety of surfaces like hard slabs in the alpine and treeline, facets and isolated surface hoar at treeline, and crusts on steep solar aspects. The depth of the Nov 4th rain crust is 60-80cm down.

Avalanche Summary

Wednesday noted numerous loose dry natural avalanches size 1.5 on all aspects and elevations and explosive control resulted in a few slab avalanches size 2 and one size 3 on a Northeast alpine feature. Thursday's patrol noted no new avalanches and the visibility was excellent.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

  Tuesday's 40cm storm had some moderate Southwest winds which loaded some slopes into windslabs.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

The Nov. 4 crust is down 60cm to 80cm at tree line. Wind slabs potentially could step down to this layer or even deeper to the basal instability creating large destructive avalanches. Caution at thick to thin snowpack areas.

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3