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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 24th, 2018–Nov 25th, 2018
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Lizard-Flathead.

Storm slabs have been forming above a weak layer in areas where storm snow has crept above threshold depths for avalanching. Travel conditions remain rugged where it hasn't.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Mainly cloudy with light to moderate west winds.Sunday: Mainly cloudy. Light to moderate west winds. Alpine high temperatures around -5.Monday: Mainly cloudy with isolated, increasingly wet flurries beginning in the afternoon. Moderate to strong southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures around -2 with the freezing level rising to about 2000 metres by evening.Tuesday: Cloudy with continuing wet flurries bringing about 5 cm of new snow to higher elevations. Light rain below about 1600 metres. Alpine high temperatures around -1 to 0 with freezing levels remaining near 2000 metres.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Friday show a natural avalanche cycle during the Friday overnight period as well as explosives control in the Fernie area producing numerous storm slab releases reaching up to size 2. This avalanche activity was limited to the depth of our new snow, about 25 cm deep.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate to heavy snowfall over Thursday and Friday brought about 30 cm of new snow to the region. This new snow buried a recently formed layer of weak, feathery surface hoar previously found on the snow surface. Below this layer of surface hoar, the new snow has also buried pockets of recently reactive wind slab in wind-exposed alpine and treeline terrain. This wind-affected layer sits above a mixed layer of late-October and early-November melt-freeze crusts and facets. The snowpack is deepest at alpine and treeline elevations, where you might now expect to find total depths of around 70 cm. These depths taper rapidly at lower elevations, where travel conditions remain rugged.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Heavy snowfall led to heightened natural avalanche activity on Friday. Expect the potential for human triggered storm slabs to persist as natural avalanches taper off.
Watch for signs of instability, such as whumphing, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2