Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 13th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Persistent Slabs, Wind Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

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Avalanche danger may increase during the day with sun and rising temperaturesRider triggering of large avalanches is an ongoing concern. Choose conservative, low consequence terrain

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

The region continued to see widespread avalanche activity on Tuesday including naturals up to size 3, and rider triggered avalanches up to size 2.

Ongoing natural, rider and remotely triggered avalanches persist on this layer. With the province heating up this weekend it's a good time to avoid avalanche terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm snow totals 40 to 60 cm across the region. The new snow sits on sun crusts and wind-affected snow from previous strong southwest winds. A melt-freeze crust exists on the surface up to 1700 m and to ridgetop on solar slopes.

Below this, two layers of surface hoar and sun crust can be found in the top meter of the snowpack. One from late February and the other from early March.

A thick and hard widespread crust formed in early February is buried about 80 to 150 cm deep. This crust has a layer of facets above it in many areas and has been reactive to human triggering.

The snowpack below this crust is generally not concerning except in shallow alpine terrain.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5°C. Freezing levels valley bottom.

Thursday

Sunny with cloudy periods. 10 to 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures near -1°C. Freezing level rising to 2000 m.

Friday

Sunny. Mostly light winds but in places gusty to 40 km/h from the northwest at ridgetop. Alpine temperatures high near +5°C. Freezing level rising to 3000 m.

Saturday

Sunny. 15 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Alpine temperatures low of +5°C and a high of +8°C Freezing level rising 3200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • Brief periods of sun could quickly initiate natural avalanche activity.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.
  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of faceted grains above a crust buried 80 to 150 cm deep is a recipe for large, high-consequence avalanches. Remote triggering is an ongoing concern and means the layer is still primed for human triggering.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may release on weak layers from late Febuary and early March resulting in larger avalanches. There is also concern for these avalanches stepping all the way down to the early Febuary layer.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Wet loose avalanches are likely on solar aspects when the sun is out. Natural avalanches, pinwheeling/snowballing and moist snow surfaces indicates an unstable upper snowpack.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 14th, 2024 4:00PM